Question

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction3.95B

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<1B

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5T

...

6.8%

1.998B

3.954B

9.139B

0.1%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

FLOPS

Measurement

Machine learning

Information technology

Linguistics

OpenAI

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-03-30

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

FLOPS

Measurement

Machine learning

Information technology

Linguistics

OpenAI

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If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many parameters will it have (in billions of parameters)?

1.76k

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

2025-03-30

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M