Question

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction33.3% (25% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33.3%

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Dec 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2026

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australian Bureau of Statistics

Reserve Bank of Australia

Department of the Treasury (Australia)

Australia

Is The US Economy Slowing? How Might US Trade Be Impacted?

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Fall in Australia’s unemployment rate sends dollar higher and stocks down, dimming hopes of interest rate cut

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

RBA expected to give mortgage holders ‘breathing capacity’ on interest rates

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF?

15%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

chrisjbillington

Opened:

Dec 12, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2026

Economy & Business

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Australian Bureau of Statistics

Reserve Bank of Australia

Department of the Treasury (Australia)

Australia

Is The US Economy Slowing? How Might US Trade Be Impacted?

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Fall in Australia’s unemployment rate sends dollar higher and stocks down, dimming hopes of interest rate cut

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

RBA expected to give mortgage holders ‘breathing capacity’ on interest rates

Guardian•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will there be a global recession before 2026, according to the IMF?

15%

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

23%