Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Japan Self-Defense Forces have tested a Tomahawk missile by mid-2027?

3
5
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction73% (68% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 73%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
EvanHarper
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Technology
Japan Self-Defense Forces
Tomahawk (missile)
Article 9 of the Japanese Constitution
China
North Korea

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