Question
What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?
Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction2047-04-18 (2034-07-26 - 2069-09-12)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2034 | — |
| median | 2047 | — |
| upper 75% | 2069 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2079-12-31 | 18.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Dec 25, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2080
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2082
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 25, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2080
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2082
