Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many months in prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sentenced to before 2030?

8
29
Total Forecasters44
Community Prediction300 (295 - 305)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<2
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>360
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
294.9
300.2
305.1
4.9%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Cryptocurrencies
Economy & Business
FTX
Federal Trade Commission

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