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Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

66 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2030

2040

2050

Make a Prediction

Year		My Prediction		Me
2030	82.4%

2040	73%

2050	60%

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Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Liberal democracy

Types of democracy

United States

University of Gothenburg

Social democracy

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Democracy and World Order

OpEdNews•Dec 18, 2024

How younger voters will impact elections: Generational change divides GOP, unites Democrats

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.09B

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

30%

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

7.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Liberal democracy

Types of democracy

United States

University of Gothenburg

Social democracy

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

•Dec 20, 2024

Democracy and World Order

OpEdNews•Dec 18, 2024

How younger voters will impact elections: Generational change divides GOP, unites Democrats

•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

1.09B

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

30%

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

7.3

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Will the US continuously be a Liberal Democracy until 2030, 2040, and 2050?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

Comments

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years?

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?