M

Question

On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia?

Resolved :Yes
17
27
Total Forecasters238
Community Prediction99.3%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99.3%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
85.4
Community Peer Score
32.3
median 99.3%mean 97.7%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
Geopolitics
Zaporizhia
Scott Alexander
Ukraine

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