Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will GPT-4 be announced?

Resolved :Mar 14, 20232023-03-18
20
17
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction2023-03-18 (2023-03-13 - 2023-03-29)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2024-01-01
...
...
...
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2023-03-13 17:35
2023-03-18 17:39
2023-03-29 01:34
0.8%

What was the final result?Mar 14, 2023

Community Baseline Score
10.4
Community Peer Score
4.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dschwarz
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Machine learning
Linguistics
OpenAI
GPT2
Chatbot

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