Question

Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction15% (7% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

National Center for Education Statistics

As 2025’s Demographic Cliff Looms, How Far Will College Enrollment Fall?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

As Competition Heats Up, More Colleges Freeze Tuition Or Make It Free

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Social Sciences

2016-2025 Leaderboard

National Center for Education Statistics

As 2025’s Demographic Cliff Looms, How Far Will College Enrollment Fall?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

Little Change In Law School Minority Enrollment After SCOTUS Decision

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

As Competition Heats Up, More Colleges Freeze Tuition Or Make It Free

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

95%

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

21.9%

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

42.2%

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Will the fraction of American 18-24 year-olds enrolled in colleges in 2025 be ≥10% less than were enrolled in 2015?

Make a Prediction

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Comments

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?

Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?

Longbets series: By 2040 will the percentage of college-aged U.S. citizens who are attending postsecondary educational institutions in the United States drop at least 50% from the level in 2011?

In 2050, will at least half of college students in the US be studying exclusively remotely or online?