Question

How old will the oldest living person be in 2100?

Total Forecasters91

Community Prediction135 (124 - 149)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>200
community	124.1	135.2	148.6	1.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	124.1	—
median	135.2	—
upper 75%	148.6	—
Upper bound
>200	1.7%	—

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 26, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

Health & Pandemics

Longevity

Guinness World Records

'Oldest woman in the world' dies 'aged 122': Family mourn mother-of-seven who put her long life down to 'sleeping and drinking'

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

Living Longer, Planning Smarter: Future Impact Of More Centenarians

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Jan 26, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

Health & Pandemics

Longevity

Guinness World Records

'Oldest woman in the world' dies 'aged 122': Family mourn mother-of-seven who put her long life down to 'sleeping and drinking'

Daily Mail•Feb 15, 2025

Living Longer, Planning Smarter: Future Impact Of More Centenarians

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story

Forbes•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the longest verified human lifespan on record on January 1 2050?

125

Will there be any progress in human lifespan enhancement by 2100?

96%

When will the first person reach 150 years of age?

2140-09-20