Question

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters29

Community Prediction29.7% (24% - 47%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 29.7%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Bird flu is a real pandemic threat. Are we prepared for the worst? | Devi Sridhar

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

CDC Confirms First Severe Human Case of Bird Flu in the US. Here's What You Should Know

•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-05

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

56%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dtark

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

World Health Organization

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Bird flu is a real pandemic threat. Are we prepared for the worst? | Devi Sridhar

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

CDC Confirms First Severe Human Case of Bird Flu in the US. Here's What You Should Know

•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-05

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

56%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will wild influenza B/Yamagata be declared eradicated before 2030?

Make a Prediction

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

Comments

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

When will the World Health Organization report no detected polio cases (wild poliovirus) for an entire calendar year, for the first time?

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?