Question

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

33 comments33

Total Forecasters203

Community Prediction17.7%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17.7%

median 17.7%mean 21.1%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

LGBT

Obergefell v. Hodges

Supreme Court of the US

President of the US

What Victoria Woodhull's Presidential Run Says About America

Time•Nov 19, 2024

RFK Jr., AIDS and why the LGBTQ+ community is in an uproar

USA Today•Nov 21, 2024

Could this be a historic year for trans representation at the Oscars?

Guardian•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

12.4

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Elections

LGBT

Obergefell v. Hodges

Supreme Court of the US

President of the US

What Victoria Woodhull's Presidential Run Says About America

Time•Nov 19, 2024

RFK Jr., AIDS and why the LGBTQ+ community is in an uproar

USA Today•Nov 21, 2024

Could this be a historic year for trans representation at the Oscars?

Guardian•Nov 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

What percentage of American adults in 2070 will identify as LGBTQ?

12.4