Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

Before the first year in which GWP growth exceeds 30%, how many FLOP will be used in the largest ML training run?

9
3
Total Forecasters7
Community Prediction1.5×10²⁹ (6.9×10²⁷ - 1.6×10³¹)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1×10²⁵
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10⁵⁰
...
...
...
...
...
3.0%
6.9×10²⁷
1.5×10²⁹
1.6×10³¹
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
FLOPS
Measurement
Machine learning
Information technology
Data analysis
Gross world product

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