M

Question

Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025?

Community Prediction0%5%10%15%20%25%Nov 01Nov 05Nov 09Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 03Dec 07Dec 11Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 27now
Total Forecasters282
Community Prediction
0.4%
(0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.4%
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Opened:Feb 2, 2023
Closed:Dec 31, 2024
Scheduled resolution:Aug 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2023

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