M

Question

Which percentage of Metaculus questions resolving in Q1 2019 will resolve positively?

Resolved :17.526
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction26 (18.9 - 34.3)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%18.85
median26.01
upper 75%34.3

What was the final result?17.5

Community Baseline Score
-5.3
Community Peer Score
32.4
Authors:
Opened:Dec 21, 2018
Closes:Feb 28, 2019
Resolves:Apr 7, 2019

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