Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Which percentage of Metaculus questions resolving in Q1 2019 will resolve positively?

Resolved :17.526
4
23
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction26 (18.9 - 34.3)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
18.85
26.01
34.3

What was the final result?17.5

Community Baseline Score
-5.3
Community Peer Score
32.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
hzds
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Metaculus
2018-2019 Leaderboard
Timeline of the Donald Trump presidency (2019 Q1)

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