Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters248

Community Prediction30% (18% - 41%)

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50%

community: 30%

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Authors:

Tamay

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Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

We Are One-Quarter Through War's Last Century

OpEdNews•Dec 21, 2024

The next massive volcanic eruption is coming. It will cause chaos the world is not prepared for

CNN•Dec 24, 2024

Private nuclear bunker sales are on the rise—but experts issue stark warning

New York Post•Dec 25, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

20%

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?