Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters0

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50%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Ragnarök Series

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Soviet Union

China

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

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Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Ragnarök Series

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Soviet Union

China

United Kingdom

Environmental science

Is Nuclear Proliferation Always a Bad Thing?

Red State•Jan 21, 2025

Is humanity doomed? Doomsday Clock will be updated TOMORROW to determine our fate - so, will it tick closer to midnight?

Daily Mail•Jan 27, 2025

Is it really possible to destroy Russia?

Strategic Culture•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Short- and long-term effects of nuclear war

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?

21%