Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to an artificial intelligence failure-mode?

40 comments40

Total Forecasters383

Community Prediction

32%

(10% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Oct 13, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 31, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 14, 2018

AI Progress Essay Contest

AGI Outcomes

Ragnarök Series

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Engineering

Lethal autonomous weapon

Robotics

Ethics

Environmental science

AI War: Fleet Command

Risk management

Artificial intelligence arms race

Existential risk from AGI

Future of Life Institute

The Perilous Race to Superintelligent A.I.: Progress or Pandora’s Box?

Observer (NY)•Mar 22, 2025

'AI Valley' author worries there's 'so much power in the hands of few people'

NPR Online News•Mar 20, 2025

A Team of Rivals and Co-pilots: Lessons From David Eagleman

Newsweek•Mar 19, 2025

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Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

50%

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