Question
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?
Total Forecasters220
Community Prediction23% (15% - 35%)
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Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 16, 2100
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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
9%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
3%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
46%
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jun 16, 2100
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
9%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?
3%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
46%