Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters219

Community Prediction27%

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50%

community: 27%

median 27.0%mean 29.4%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

Bird Flu Outbreak: Do Human Cases Mean Future Lockdowns?

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Transhumanist Movement and State-Run Euthanasia

offGuardian•Nov 17, 2024

Transhumanism, the Death of God, and Eternal War

offGuardian•Nov 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%