Question

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27 comments27

Total Forecasters219

Community Prediction23% (13% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

Risks of Ecosystem Crash-Landings

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Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biological Weapons Convention

Risks of Ecosystem Crash-Landings

CounterPunch•Jan 17, 2025

Is Nuclear Proliferation Always a Bad Thing?

Red State•Jan 21, 2025

A killer fludemic 30 times more deadly than Covid is already here... but our leaders have their heads in the sand and we are woefully unprepared: GEOFFREY LEAN

Daily Mail•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global biological catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

46.9%