Question

Will a post-Putin Russia substantially democratise within 5 years?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters124

Community Prediction12.5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 12.5%

median 12.5%mean 21.4%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Russia under Vladimir Putin

Election results: Will Trump give Putin credit for his win?

Slate•Nov 13, 2024

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Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

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Lew Rockwell•Nov 15, 2024

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What will be the Democracy Index of Russia in the 2030 report by the Economist Intelligence Unit?

2.29

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-28

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Russia under Vladimir Putin

Election results: Will Trump give Putin credit for his win?

Slate•Nov 13, 2024

Will Trump Abandon Ukraine? It Would Force Europe to Grow Up Fast | Opinion

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

The Impact of the US Election For Ukraine- Can Trump do a Deal With Putin on Ukraine?

Lew Rockwell•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the Democracy Index of Russia in the 2030 report by the Economist Intelligence Unit?

2.29

When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?

2029-04-28

Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?

25%