Question

Will Russia significantly incorporate Belarus into the Union State before 2030?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters84

Community Prediction40% (17.5% - 59%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger NMorrison

Opened:

Feb 26, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 1, 2030

Armed Forces of Belarus

European Union

Union State

Ukraine–NATO relations

Belarus–Russia relations

Russia

Putin Ally Says 'New, Very Close Regions' Could Join Russia

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Could Russia destabilize itself?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Belarus has dozens of Russian nuclear weapons and is ready for its newest missile, its leader says

Associated Press•Feb 20, 2025

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