Question

Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election?

Resolved:No

10 comments10

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction

20%

(8% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

4.8

Community Peer Score

22.2

Authors:

oscarstrauss1

Opened:

Feb 26, 2023

Closes:

Apr 30, 2024

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2023

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

National Assembly of South Africa

Eskom

South Africa

African National Congress

2019 South African general election

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

oscarstrauss1

Opened:

Feb 26, 2023

Closes:

Apr 30, 2024

Resolves:

Jun 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 28, 2023

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

National Assembly of South Africa

Eskom

South Africa

African National Congress

2019 South African general election

Why is Zimbabwe’s President Mnangagwa facing pressure to resign?

Al Jazeera•Apr 3, 2025

South Africa’s unity government risks collapse as parties clash over national budget

Associated Press•Apr 3, 2025

Australians almost never vote out a first-term government. So why is this year’s election looking so tight?

The Conversation•Mar 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?

12.4k

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

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47%

MetaculusM

Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election?

Make a Prediction

What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

Comments

What will South Africa's GDP per capita PPP be in 2030 (in constant 2017 USD)?

Will there be Parliamentary elections in Bulgaria within one year from October 28, 2024?

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election?

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