Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will European soil moisture be below the reference period for at least 3 out of the 4 years between 2022 and 2025?

5
1
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction42% (39.4% - 42%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 42%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Environment & Climate
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Europe
Geography
Environmental science
Climatology

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