Question
When will the first cloned human be born?
Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction2040-08-28 (2031-11-10 - 2050-10-23)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<2005-12-31 | 0.7% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | Nov 2031 | — |
median | Aug 2040 | — |
upper 75% | >Oct 2050 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>2050-10-23 | 28.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 20, 2018
Closes:Oct 23, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Oct 24, 2050