Question

Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters59

Community Prediction55.3% (42% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55.3%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 6, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2028

Bright Line Watch

2021-2025 Leaderboard

United States

Republican Party (US)

Donald Trump

Critical race theory

Crimson Tide: Only One-Third of Harvard Students Feel Comfortable Speaking About Controversial Subjects

Lew Rockwell•Feb 13, 2025

Harvard survey shows most students did not feel comfortable sharing 'controversial opinions' in class

FOX News•Feb 13, 2025

‘Traded Ideas For Ideology’: Nearly 75% Of College Faculty Believe Academic Freedom Is In Danger

Daily Caller•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?

Will the United States drop below a 7 in the Democracy index by 2040?

40%

How will China score on the Human Freedom Index in 2030?

5.48

Comments

? comments