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Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?

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Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Year: 2036 FLOPs: 10e32	-

Year: 2032 FLOPs: 10e30	-

Year: 2028 FLOPs: 10e28	-

Year: 2040 FLOPs: 10e32	-

Year: 2026 FLOPs: 10e26	-

Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Artificial Intelligence

FLOPS

Measurement

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

Information technology

Computer hardware

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

GustavoLacerda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Training and Compute

AI Technical Benchmarks

Artificial Intelligence

FLOPS

Measurement

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

Information technology

Computer hardware

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What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

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Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?

Make a Prediction

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

Comments

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?

What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years?

What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates?

Will the FLOPs thresholds outlined in the US Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence be updated before the indicated year?