Question

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction48% (33% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Nov 13, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

Climate change is threatening cacao crops, researchers say

CBS•Feb 12, 2025

‘Hot Potato’ Plants Engineered to Flourish in Heat Waves

Scientific American•Feb 13, 2025

Price hikes and shortages flagged after banana crops ‘cop a flogging’ in north Queensland floods

Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

15%

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

2040-07-01

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Nov 13, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

Climate change is threatening cacao crops, researchers say

CBS•Feb 12, 2025

‘Hot Potato’ Plants Engineered to Flourish in Heat Waves

Scientific American•Feb 13, 2025

Price hikes and shortages flagged after banana crops ‘cop a flogging’ in north Queensland floods

Guardian•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

15%

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

2040-07-01