Question

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction48% (39% - 50%)

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50%

community: 48%

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Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

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Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

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Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

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Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

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Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

18%

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

2040-07-01

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

Toadstool with teeth and ghostly palm among plant and fungus finds of 2024

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

What is gene drive and how could it help in the fight against malaria?

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

18%

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

2040-07-01

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Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

Make a Prediction

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Comments

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply