Question

Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?

30 comments30

Total Forecasters102

Community Prediction

48%

(33% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 48%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Nov 13, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 13, 2018

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

U.S. Farmers Are Under Siege? Food Security Crises Going on in the U.S

Lew Rockwell•Mar 24, 2025

Scientists identify ‘tipping point’ that caused clumps of toxic Florida seaweed

Guardian•Mar 22, 2025

Rising Prices, Trade Opportunities, And The Future Of Chocolate

Forbes•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Jul 2040

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?

42%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Nov 13, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2034

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2034

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 13, 2018

Fusarium oxysporum f.sp. cubense

Plant pathology

Panama disease

North America

U.S. Farmers Are Under Siege? Food Security Crises Going on in the U.S

Lew Rockwell•Mar 24, 2025

Scientists identify ‘tipping point’ that caused clumps of toxic Florida seaweed

Guardian•Mar 22, 2025

Rising Prices, Trade Opportunities, And The Future Of Chocolate

Forbes•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?

Jul 2040

Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply

Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?

42%