MetaculusM

Question

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

8

Total Forecasters60

Community Prediction53% (45% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 53%

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 2, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Nicolás Maduro

How Venezuela Helps Feed the Violence in Colombia

New York Times•Feb 12, 2025

Trump and Maduro refresh a complex relationship governed by self-interest and tainted by Venezuela election fraud

The Conversation•Feb 13, 2025

Will Trump Step Up Attacks on Venezuela?

Consortium News•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Apr 2, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Nicolás Maduro

How Venezuela Helps Feed the Violence in Colombia

New York Times•Feb 12, 2025

Trump and Maduro refresh a complex relationship governed by self-interest and tainted by Venezuela election fraud

The Conversation•Feb 13, 2025

Will Trump Step Up Attacks on Venezuela?

Consortium News•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch