Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will FDA approval of mifepristone for abortion no longer be in effect for any period of time before July 1, 2023?

Resolved :No0.8%
Total Forecasters83
Community Prediction0.8% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
92.9
Community Peer Score
6.2
Learn more about scores here.
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