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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters191

Community Prediction5%

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50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 11.2%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

New Zealand

Australia women's national soccer team

Nuclear winter

Environmental science

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Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29.2%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

New Zealand

Australia women's national soccer team

Nuclear winter

Environmental science

Map Shows Safest Countries if There Is Nuclear War and Famine

Newsweek•Nov 26, 2024

What's All the Fuss About? Is Nuclear War Really That Dangerous?

Lew Rockwell•Nov 27, 2024

Nuclear Bomb Map Shows Impact of Russian Weapons on Major US Cities

Newsweek•Nov 28, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?

29.2%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: if catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

22%