🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026?

16
13
82 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 72

Make a Prediction

PartyMe
Grüne
1%
CDU/CSU
95%
SPD
3%
AfD
1%
Die Linke
0.1%
FDP
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
AFD
Bundestag
The Greens – The Green Alternative
CSU
Die Linke
Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Free Democratic Party (Germany)
Social Democratic Party of Germany
Alternative for Germany donation scandal

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