Question

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction79% (67% - 87%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

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In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

Language AIs in 2024: Size, guardrails and steps toward AI agents

The Conversation•Dec 20, 2024

William O’Neil + Co. Investment Themes For 2025

Forbes•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

40%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

Make a Prediction

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

Comments

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?