Question

Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction79%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 79%

median 79.0%mean 75.8%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

OpenAI finally launches ChatGPT Search – but can it take on Google?

Independent•Nov 4, 2024

[Tyler Cowen] AI's uneven effect on economy

Korea Herald•Nov 4, 2024

OpenAI Launches AI-Powered Search Engine That Could Challenge Google—Here’s What To Know

Forbes•Nov 4, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In 2031, will at least 90% of Open Philanthropy Project grant money be directed using effective altruist principles?

85%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3.57k

Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?

43.2%