Question

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters130

Community Prediction

2044

(2035 - 2055)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	<2019	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2100
community	1.9%	2035	2044	2055	6.9%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<157775040000%	1.9%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	2035	—
median	2044	—
upper 75%	2055	—
Upper bound
>413389440000%	6.9%	—

Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Nov 26, 2018

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 27, 2018

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