Question

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

16 comments16

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction2044-11-24 (2036-02-27 - 2057-04-17)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2019-12-31

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2100-12-31

...

2.1%

2036-02-27 11:32

2044-11-24 23:15

2057-04-17 17:17

7.9%

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Authors:

jzima

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Paris Agreement

NASA

Climate inaction puts lives on the line: WMO

•Dec 17, 2024

Biden set an ambitious new climate goal. Will it still matter under Trump?

NPR Online News•Dec 19, 2024

Biden administration passes the torch to local leaders to keep climate action alive

Verge•Dec 19, 2024

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How much global warming by 2100?

2.99

Will there be at least 2˚C of global warming by 2100?

95%

Longbets series: will the annual average temperature anomaly above the 1850-1899 baseline be 2.0C or higher by 2037?

23%

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