Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters187

Community Prediction1% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Dec 4, 2018

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 23, 2100

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Runaway greenhouse effect

Atmospheric science

Greenhouse and icehouse Earth

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Solar geoengineering is here, whether we like it or not

Canary•Jan 23, 2025

Is the Collapse Coming Soon?

CounterPunch•Jan 24, 2025

The world is on track for between 1.9 and 3.7°C of warming by 2100

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

32%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Dec 4, 2018

Closes:

Jan 2, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 23, 2100

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Runaway greenhouse effect

Atmospheric science

Greenhouse and icehouse Earth

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Solar geoengineering is here, whether we like it or not

Canary•Jan 23, 2025

Is the Collapse Coming Soon?

CounterPunch•Jan 24, 2025

The world is on track for between 1.9 and 3.7°C of warming by 2100

New Scientist•Jan 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

32%