Question

Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters188

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 6.6%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Runaway greenhouse effect

Atmospheric science

Greenhouse and icehouse Earth

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%

Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Ragnarök Series

Environment & Climate

Natural Sciences

Runaway greenhouse effect

Atmospheric science

Greenhouse and icehouse Earth

Climate change denial

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Fringe Scientists Warn of ‘Irreversible Climate Disaster’ from Fossil Fuels

Breitbart•Oct 23, 2024

The Gulf Stream is on the verge of COLLAPSING, leading climate change scientists warn - plunging the UK into a new ice age

Daily Mail•Oct 23, 2024

‘We don’t know where the tipping point is’: climate expert on potential collapse of Atlantic circulation

Guardian•Oct 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?

30%