Question

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters149

Community Prediction54% (48% - 60%)

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50%

community: 54%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

Biology

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Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Food and Drug Administration

Biology

Elon Musk Pushes for Federally Funded Ozempic and Less Government Spending

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Dec 13, 2024

Obesity Drugmaker CEO Pledges to ‘Fight For FDA,’ Claims Zepbound Can Cure Drug Addiction and Alzheimer’s

PJ Media•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

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Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Comments

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?