Question

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters151

Community Prediction54% (44% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Food and Drug Administration

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Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

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When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Food and Drug Administration

Biology

Pig-to-Human Organ Transplants Will Finally Begin Clinical Trials This Year

Scientific American•Feb 14, 2025

Pros and cons of new Alzheimer’s drugs: How long you might live without help

CNN•Feb 14, 2025

This drug is the 'breakthrough of the year' — and it could mean the end of the HIV epidemic

NPR Online News•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

When will Altos Labs first trial an anti-aging intervention in humans?

2031-01-15

Will an inorganic nanoparticle-enabled cancer therapy be approved by the FDA before 2041?

80%