M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will a mouse be confirmed to have lived for 2,500 days before 1 January 2035?

Total Forecasters158
Community Prediction55%

Make a Prediction

community: 55%
median 55.0%mean 56.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%


Comments

? comments