Question

Before 1 January 2050, will any human cryonically preserved for at least 1 year be successfully revived?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters275

Community Prediction

(1% - 6%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2018

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Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

21%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

1.81

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 11, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2018

Alcor Life Extension Foundation

Life in the old dog yet: how biotech firms are looking to extend the lives of our pets

Guardian•Mar 23, 2025

1X will test humanoid robots in ‘a few hundred’ homes in 2025

TechCrunch•Mar 21, 2025

Dave Asprey warns Bryan Johnson against trying to 'cheat death'

New York Post•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any person that has been cryopreserved for more than 1 year be resuscitated or emulated before 2200?

50%

Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?

21%

What percentage of people cryopreserved between 2020 and 2050 will be revived by 2200?

1.81