Question

Will there be a commercial service to travel between London and New York City in under three hours before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters234

Community Prediction5% (3% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Transatlantic ticket sales lift British Airways and IAG to ever higher annual profits

Guardian•Mar 1, 2025

Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic to unveil new six-man spaceship that will take tourists into the cosmos from next summer - but tickets are eye-wateringly expensive

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

Incredible NASA photo captures sound barrier being broken

CNN•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Dec 16, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Boeing 787 Dreamliner

John F. Kennedy International Airport

Heathrow Airport

Norwegian Air Shuttle

Transatlantic ticket sales lift British Airways and IAG to ever higher annual profits

Guardian•Mar 1, 2025

Richard Branson's Virgin Galactic to unveil new six-man spaceship that will take tourists into the cosmos from next summer - but tickets are eye-wateringly expensive

Daily Mail•Mar 3, 2025

Incredible NASA photo captures sound barrier being broken

CNN•Mar 4, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the next commercial supersonic flight occur?

2030-12-28

By 2050, will it be possible to purchase a zero-emissions flight from New York to London for less than half US weekly household income?

40%

Will there be an ocean liner on an Atlantic route in 2035?

90%