Question

When will the average survival rate of all cancers exceed 75%?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters89

Community Prediction2029-04-14 (2026-02-28 - 2033-07-22)

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weight:

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community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-12-08

...

2026-02-28 01:20

2029-04-14 17:58

2033-07-22 20:31

9.2%

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

National Cancer Institute

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russia says it's developed a cancer vaccine and will launch it for free

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Why the 'cancer gap' between men and women is closing

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

2051-05-05

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

2040-04-24

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Social Sciences

National Cancer Institute

Russia To Launch Free Cancer Vaccine in 2025

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Russia says it's developed a cancer vaccine and will launch it for free

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Why the 'cancer gap' between men and women is closing

Daily Mail•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

2051-05-05

When will the five-year relative survival rate of pancreatic cancer patients in the US exceed 50%?

2040-04-24

Will age-adjusted cancer deaths per 100,000 people in the US go down 50% or more before 2051?

43%