SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?

conditional

condition

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023?

Resolved :No

36 forecasters

if yes

if no

SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?

62%

Resolved :Annulled62%

SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?

54%

6 comments6

Make a Prediction

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023?	SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 62%

Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

if Yes

if No

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure

Colonization of Mars

SpaceX

The Moon and Mars – Not a pie in the sky if the FAA and EPA will just get out of the way

American Thinker•Dec 15, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Elon Musk moves to make Starbase, Texas, the official ‘gateway to Mars’

FOX News•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? → Date First Human Lands on Mars

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

29%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Zaldath

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

Elon Musk

SpaceX Mars transportation infrastructure

Colonization of Mars

SpaceX

The Moon and Mars – Not a pie in the sky if the FAA and EPA will just get out of the way

American Thinker•Dec 15, 2024

From Starship tests to Starliner woes, recapping the biggest spaceflight missions of 2024

USA Today•Dec 16, 2024

Elon Musk moves to make Starbase, Texas, the official ‘gateway to Mars’

FOX News•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? → Date First Human Lands on Mars

Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

29%