M

conditional
condition

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election?

Resolved :Yes
16 forecasters
if yes
if no

Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

55%
55%

Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

48%
48%
Resolved :Annulled
4
1

Make a Prediction

DPP wins 2024 Taiwanese election?

Chinese Control of Half of Taiwan by 2050?

50%
community: 55%

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Zaldath
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Li Zuocheng
China
Taiwan
2020 Taiwanese presidential election
Tsai Ing-wen
Democratic Progressive Party

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