Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

How many Frontier AI labs will there be on Dec 31, 2025?

3
3
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction5.39 (3.86 - 7.47)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
...
...
...
...
3.863
5.393
7.473
0.2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
dschwarzPeterWildefordwill_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Business of AI
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Amazon (company)
Anthropic
Meta
Yandex
Linguistics
Microsoft
OpenAI
DeepMind

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