Group

Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?

Deny some entities

Deny ≤99 countries

Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing

Deny ≥100 countries

Deny all, secret or no new licenses

Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
Deny some entities	35%

Deny ≤99 countries	15%

Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing	7%

Deny ≥100 countries	5%

Deny all, secret or no new licenses	1%

Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing	1%

Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing	1%