Group
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 16
Make a Prediction
| Restriction scope | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing | 3% | |||
Deny some entities | 33% | |||
Deny ≤99 countries | 9% | |||
Deny ≥100 countries | 2% | |||
Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing | 1% | |||
Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing | 1% | |||
Deny all, secret or no new licenses | 0.1% | |||
Authors:
Opened:Jun 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 6, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2030