Group

Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?

19 forecasters

Total Forecasters 13

Deny some entities

Deny ≤99 countries

Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing

Deny ≥100 countries

Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing

Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing

Restriction scope		My Prediction		Me
Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing	1%

Deny some entities	35%

Deny ≤99 countries	12.23%

Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing	7%

Deny ≥100 countries	4%

Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing	1%

Deny all, secret or no new licenses	1%