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Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 11
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| Restriction scope | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deny ≥100 countries | 10% | |||
Deny some entities | 89% | |||
Deny ≤99 countries | 85% | |||
Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing | 5% | |||
Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing | 5% | |||
Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing | 5% | |||
Deny all, secret or no new licenses | 3% | |||
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